Friday, October 4, 2013

Week 6 Preview: Notre Dame vs. Arizona State


Tomorrow night features the 2013 edition of the Shamrock Series as the Fighting Irish of Notre Dame (3-2) will travel to Arlington, Texas to take on the Arizona State Sun Devils (3-1, 22nd ranked). This matchup is being played at AT&T Stadium, so “JerryWorld” figures to be quite a seen on Saturday night. It is considered at home game for the Irish, and both squads will be sporting some “interesting” uniforms. With that being said, this should be a very entertaining ballgame.

Notre Dame is coming off of a 35-21 loss last week to the Oklahoma Sooners, and they now control their own destiny. If the Irish have any hopes of making a BCS Bowl game, they need to win their remaining seven contests. With Arizona State, USC, Stanford, and other quality programs left on the schedule, running the table is still possible, but it will be very difficult.

Arizona State enters Saturday’s tilt having defeated the USC Trojans 62-41 last week, and they will look to continue their offensive explosiveness. The Sun Devils are ranked 11th in the FBS in scoring (44.3 ppg) and 15th in total offense (505.0 ypg), so the Irish defense will certainly be tested. The Sun Devils’ lone loss came against Stanford, and they are a legitimate threat to reach and win the Pac-12 Championship. A win here would only help their confidence and momentum as they fight through their conference slate.

Offensively, Notre Dame needs to put up a lot of points if they want to win this game. As mentioned above, Arizona State has a potent offense, so the Irish have to get into the endzone and not settle for field goals when they get into the redzone. To do this, look for Notre Dame to try to build on last week’s tremendous effort on the ground. Last week, the Irish rushed for a season-high 220 yards and they could be in store for an even bigger day with Arizona State surrendering 192.3 rushing yards per game, good for 90th in the country. Not only will a good running attack likely lead to some touchdowns, it will also keep the ball out of the Sun Devils’ hands. Hopefully, the Irish can establish a solid ground game early on which should lead to some nice play-action pass plays. If that becomes the case, then the Irish should be able to make a few big plays in the passing game. However, if the running game is stagnant, then the Irish will be in trouble. I don’t believe that Tommy Rees can sit in the pocket and throw the ball 35 to 40 times and be effective. For Notre Dame to win this game, they need a balanced offensive attack.

Defensively, Notre Dame faces arguably their toughest challenge of the season. As stated earlier, the Sun Devils average 44.3 points per game and 505 yards of total offense per game. In addition to those stats, Arizona State ranks 7th in passing offense at 358.8 yards per game, but just 84th in rushing offense at 146.3 yards per game. The good news is that Notre Dame should be able to keep the Sun Devils’ running game in check. The bad news is that Arizona State could have a field day versus the Irish secondary. Quarterback Taylor Kelly is off to a great start in 2013 with 1,370 yards passing, a 61.4% completion percentage, 11 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. As good as Kelly has been, the Sun Devils’ best weapon is Marion Grice. The senior has 439 yards of total offense (256 rushing, 183 receiving) and has scored a whooping 12 touchdowns on the season. Grice could present some matchup problems for the Irish defense, so he is worth keeping an eye on.

I expect a close and relatively high-scoring game, but the Irish secondary has struggled too much and their offense hasn’t been consistent enough to beat a team like Arizona State.

Prediction: Arizona State 31, Notre Dame 27

-Eric Tichelbaut

Follow me on Twitter @etichel07

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