Saturday, February 1, 2014

Super Bowl XLVIII Preview

Super Bowl XLVIII kicks off tomorrow night when the Denver Broncos and Seattle Seahawks will meet at MetLife Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey. The game features the NFL’s best offense (Denver) versus the best defense (Seattle) in what figures to be an exciting matchup. Who will ultimately prevail?

Seattle’s offense has struggled of late, but obviously they have done just enough to win in their playoff games. Unfortunately, I don’t think Seattle can rely on their defense to hold the Broncos under 17 points like they did against the New Orleans Saints and San Francisco 49ers. How will Seattle score enough points to win?
Russell Wilson has been solid all year and seems to make enough plays when he has to as he did in the NFC Championship. However, if he has to throw the ball more than 30 times on Sunday, then Seattle might be in trouble. As always, the Seahawks’ offensive game plan will be centered around running back Marshawn Lynch. Lynch is a workhorse and proved that by rushing for 249 yards and 3 touchdowns on 50 carries in Seattle’s two playoff games. Lynch will likely be asked to carry the ball at least 25 times, and will have to eclipse 100 yards again for Seattle to win. If Lynch can move the ball consistently and pile up first downs, then Seattle will be able to keep Manning and the Broncos off the field. Not only will a solid running game keep Manning off the field, it will also set up play-action opportunities for Russell Wilson. When that occurs, Wilson will have to convert on those opportunities.

One key aspects of the game could prove to be the effectiveness of Percy Harvin. Harvin had been out for most of the regular season after recovering from offseason hip surgery, playing in only one regular season game. Harvin did return for the Divisional Round versus New Orleans, but he was knocked out of the game after suffering a concussion. When healthy, Harvin is explosive and is one of the best offensive weapons in the NFL. It will be interesting to see how active Harvin is and if he can stay in the game.
The most exciting part of the game will be whenever the Broncos offense is on the field. I am really excited to see what Peyton Manning can do against this Seattle defense. Everyone likes to poke fun at “Omaha” and Manning’s pre-snap calls, but watching the chess match between Manning and the Seattle defense prior to the snap will be one of the most intriguing aspects of the game.

When the ball is snapped, Manning will have plenty of weapons to try and attack this Seattle defense. With Demaryius Thomas and Eric Decker on the outside, and Julius Thomas and Wes Welker in the inside, Seattle will have their hands full trying to stop Manning. Fortunately for Seattle, the Seahawks’ defense has the perfect combination of skill and scheme to keep Manning in-check. Seattle’s cornerbacks Richard Sherman and Byron Maxwell are two of the best cover corners in the league and should be able to give Demaryius Thomas and Decker fits on the outside. Honestly, I don’t expect either receiver to have a major impact in the game.
With the outside passing game being limited, Manning will have to lean heavily on Julius Thomas, Wes Welker, and his running backs against Seattle’s zone coverage in the middle. Seattle has a great pair of safeties in Earl Thomas and Kam Chancellor, so I don’t see Julius Thomas making plays deep down the middle of the field. Therefore, look for Manning to attack Seattle’s linebackers with short passes to Welker, Julius Thomas, and his running backs. Manning is great at taking what a defense gives him, and I think he will have to move the ball methodically with short passes in order to score points. The short passing game will also keep Seattle’s outstanding defensive line from getting pressure on Manning.

It won’t be easy for Peyton Manning and the Broncos to score points against the Seahawks’ defense, but they will score enough to win. I picked the Broncos to beat the Seahawks back in August, and I can’t go against my pick with this game being a virtual coin-flip in my opinion.
Prediction: Denver Broncos 20, Seattle Seahawks 17

-Eric Tichelbaut
Follow me on Twitter @etichel07

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